They probably will be higher than they were in 2022. Remember, it is still rising. The events that caused that rise are not over yet. My prediction is the "pro-oil" policy of trump will give us the highest gasoline prices ever. What is your prediction?
trump did make mistakes that drove the oil prices negative during the pandemic. That sort of market failure is not "normal", but it does push the normal price up as investment gets difficult to find. Investors are still reeling from trump's failure.
It is going to take months to restart all the systems that have been shutdown, and years to rebuild the infrastructure that has been destroyed. And then decades to get the investment back.
But we are forgetting, most of that has not started yet. Before anything in started, the war needs to be open, with the Strait of Hormuz open. That has not happened yet, and may not happen for a long time to come.
The Suez Canal was closed for 8 years. Ships that entered the canal 8 years before, barely left with long rotted cargos 8 years later. It is very possible the ships trapped in the Persian Gulf might be stuck there for years.