Now we got a “TACO Index”

archives

Verified User

“Financial analysts move to counter Trump’s Middle East war uncertainty with ‘TACO’ index”​

“Can US President Donald Trump’s thought process be summed up in a mathematical equation?”

“Financial markets have been searching for a formula to help predict the erratic US president’s next move during periods of major political upheaval, and may have hit upon a result.”

“Analysts from Germany’s Deutsche Bank have published the “TACO stress index” as a measure of anticipating when Trump might change his mind, financial media reported on Wednesday.”

“The "TACO" theory suggests that Trump systematically reverses his major policy decisions – such as imposing hefty tariffs on other countries – as soon as the consequences become too negative.”

“With investors increasingly "Lost in Trumplation", the "TACO" index aims to impose something that's rational on what may otherwise be irrational-looking behavior”

“The "TACO" index uses four factors to measure negative impacts and evaluate the probability that Trump will change his opinion.”

“These are: one-year inflation expectations, changes in Trump’s approval ratings in the month prior, the performance of the stock market, and the evolution of US Treasury yields”


Use to be a time when Americans and the world looked to the President as a reliable and steadfast voice in the world not one who was wish washing depending on how events effected his poll numbers and business profits
 
Keep them guessing. That's Trump's motto.
The Economist had an interesting description of trump:
The most plausible scenario is that Mr Trump does not know what he will do this autumn. This is a president who was willing to commit America to war like a jazz musician settling down at a piano, confident he would find the right keys at the right moments.
https://www.economist.com/united-states/2026/03/19/does-donald-trump-even-care-about-the-midterms

It takes confidence for trump to think that he can just do something he has never done before, without any experience or preparation, but one thing trump has in spades in confidence.
 
Back
Top