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No one knows what the national political battleground will look like on the eve of Election Day in November 2020, so any confident prognostications about the campaign’s likely outcome should be treated with healthy skepticism. But state-by-state polling currently shows that President Donald Trump’s approval rating is particularly weak in all of the key areas he needs to win if he wants to secure re-election.
Gallup recently published a post detailing Trump’s approval at the state level. And for every swing state — and even in several traditionally red states — his approval rating is below 50 percent.
Consider, for instance, the three states Trump won in 2016 that guaranteed his electoral college victory, even as he lost the popular vote:
Michigan: 42 percent approve, 54 percent disapprove
Wisconsin: 42 percent approve, 53 percent disapprove
Pennsylvania: 42 percent approve, 54 percent disapprove
His current net approval is underwater by more than 10 points in each — and that’s while most economic indicators are relatively strong for the country as a whole.
Two other swing states that are important for Trump are also looking dicey. In Florida, 43 percent of people approve of him while 51 percent disapprove. In North Carolina, his approval rate is at 45 percent approve while his disapproval is at 50 percent.
The swing state that currently looks the best for Trump is Ohio. It has been trending more Republican over recent years, though President Barack Obama won it in 2012 by about 3 points. Currently, the state is evenly split on Trump’s approval, 48 percent to 48 percent, according to Gallup.
Gallup recently published a post detailing Trump’s approval at the state level. And for every swing state — and even in several traditionally red states — his approval rating is below 50 percent.
Consider, for instance, the three states Trump won in 2016 that guaranteed his electoral college victory, even as he lost the popular vote:
Michigan: 42 percent approve, 54 percent disapprove
Wisconsin: 42 percent approve, 53 percent disapprove
Pennsylvania: 42 percent approve, 54 percent disapprove
His current net approval is underwater by more than 10 points in each — and that’s while most economic indicators are relatively strong for the country as a whole.
Two other swing states that are important for Trump are also looking dicey. In Florida, 43 percent of people approve of him while 51 percent disapprove. In North Carolina, his approval rate is at 45 percent approve while his disapproval is at 50 percent.
The swing state that currently looks the best for Trump is Ohio. It has been trending more Republican over recent years, though President Barack Obama won it in 2012 by about 3 points. Currently, the state is evenly split on Trump’s approval, 48 percent to 48 percent, according to Gallup.
